"One Swallow Does Not A Summer Make"

One Swallow Does Not A Summer Make

The northward migration of the Barn Swallow has long been a symbol of the arrival of spring or summer. But Aristotle warns us that:
  • One swallow does not a summer make, nor one fine day; similarly one day or brief time of happiness does not make a person entirely happy. *
  • -- Aristotle
One, or a few instances of the occurrence of an event can not be generalized to indicate a trend. This is an example of a Hasty Generalization Fallacy.

Follies and Fallacies are so integrated to every aspect of our communications that many of us fail to recognize them. I believe that the prerequisite to critical thinking and healthy communication is a thorough understanding of Fallacies and Cognitive Biases. Seeing politicians inadvertently or intentionally voicing fallacies is one thing, but it is staggering how common they are even among scientists and the elite. Fallacies and biases lead to errors in thinking and judgment. Using bad judgment has personal and social consequences...
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